The 11-metre duel
Lionel Messi converts 77.3% of his career penalties; Thibaut Courtois concedes 83.5%. Corrected for sample size and matched against each other, the goal comes out at 79.8%. Your turn to shoot.

🇦🇷 Argentine116/150 scoredraw 77%adjusted 78%

🇧🇪 Belgique1.99 mconcedes 66/79raw 84%adjusted 83%
🎯 Click anywhere in the goal: the ball goes where you aim — click the reticle again to release.
Shootout : 0 shot
GoalKeeper saveOff target or woodwork
Confidence high — the smaller sample in this duel is 79 penalties. Below 12, a few points of difference mean nothing.
The raw numbers, and what is left of them once corrected for sample size.
| Lionel Messi | Statistic | Thibaut Courtois |
|---|---|---|
| 150 | Penalties | 79 |
| 77% | Raw rate | 84% |
| 78% | Adjusted rate | 83% |
| 79.8% | Head to head | 20.2% |