The 11-metre duel
Lionel Messi converts 77.3% of his career penalties; Diego Alves concedes 60.6%. Corrected for sample size and matched against each other, the goal comes out at 60.7%. Your turn to shoot.

🇦🇷 Argentine★★☆☆☆116/150 scoredraw 77%adjusted 78%

🇧🇷 Brésil★★★★★1.87 mconcedes 43/71raw 61%adjusted 66%
Shootout : 0 shot
GoalKeeper saveOff target or woodwork
Confidence high — the smaller sample in this duel is 71 penalties. Below 12, a few points of difference mean nothing.
The raw numbers, and what is left of them once corrected for sample size.
| Lionel Messi | Statistic | Diego Alves |
|---|---|---|
| 150 | Penalties | 71 |
| 77% | Raw rate | 61% |
| 78% | Adjusted rate | 66% |
| 60.7% | Head to head | 39.3% |