The 11-metre duel
Lionel Messi converts 77.3% of his career penalties; Jan Oblak concedes 79.7%. Corrected for sample size and matched against each other, the goal comes out at 76.6%. Your turn to shoot.

🇦🇷 Argentine116/150 scoredraw 77%adjusted 78%

🇸🇮 Slovénie1.88 mconcedes 63/79raw 80%adjusted 80%
🎯 Click anywhere in the goal: the ball goes where you aim — click the reticle again to release.
Shootout : 0 shot
GoalKeeper saveOff target or woodwork
Confidence high — the smaller sample in this duel is 79 penalties. Below 12, a few points of difference mean nothing.
The raw numbers, and what is left of them once corrected for sample size.
| Lionel Messi | Statistic | Jan Oblak |
|---|---|---|
| 150 | Penalties | 79 |
| 77% | Raw rate | 80% |
| 78% | Adjusted rate | 80% |
| 76.6% | Head to head | 23.4% |