The 11-metre duel
Lionel Messi converts 77.0% of his career penalties; Jan Oblak concedes 80.5%. Corrected for sample size and matched against each other, the goal comes out at 76.9%. Your turn to shoot.

🇦🇷 Argentine117/152 scoredraw 77%adjusted 77%

🇸🇮 Slovénie1.88 mconcedes 66/82raw 80%adjusted 81%
🎯 Click anywhere in the goal: the ball goes where you aim — click the reticle again to release.
Shootout : 0 shot
GoalKeeper saveOff target or woodwork
Confidence high — the smaller sample in this duel is 82 penalties. Below 12, a few points of difference mean nothing.
The raw numbers, and what is left of them once corrected for sample size.
| Lionel Messi | Statistic | Jan Oblak |
|---|---|---|
| 152 | Penalties | 82 |
| 77% | Raw rate | 80% |
| 77% | Adjusted rate | 81% |
| 76.9% | Head to head | 23.1% |